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Prediction for CME (2024-12-25T04:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-12-25T04:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35933/-1
CME Note: Relatively faint and very wide CME seen to the south and southeast in SOHO LASCO C2 and to the southeast in STEREO A COR2 during an observing campaign; the CME is associated with an M4.9-class flare and resulting eruption from the vicinity of AR13932 seen near S18E10 with predominantly southward directionality around 2024-12-25T04:48Z in GOES SUVI 304, 284, 131, and 171. The 284 signature is characterized by a destabilizing arcade south of the active region and broad dimming signature. Associated with a type II radio burst with observed shock speed of 1064 km/s.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-27T21:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: -263.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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